The permeability prediction is a critical step in the flow of geological modeling and reservoir characterization and is essential for the development of production projects. Sub-seismic structures called deformation bands (BD) can reduce permeability up to six orders of magnitude in relation to the host reservoir sandstone and can thus act as total or partial barriers to the fluid flow. The present work intends to contribute in the determination of the hydraulic behavior of reservoirs proposing an analytical geomechanical model for BD s prediction in sandstone reservoirs. In practical terms, the objective is to predict whether the conditions in a given portion of a siliciclastic hydrocarbon deposit have been reached for the localization of BD or how close it is to a possible generation of this feature in order to suggest an analysis of the permeability reduction. The proposal extends to the computational implementation of the method and its application in a case study of a poorly consolidated sandstone reservoir on the brazilian continental margin, rich in BD. The results confirmed the viability of the method by showing that the portion of the analyzed reservoir reached the mechanical conditions for the genesis of BD from the geological age entitled Oligocene (~ 23 to 35 Ma) for the established scenarios.